Substack Subscriber Growth Calculator

Enter your subscribers today and your growth rate and get a month-by-month table, plus the date you reach your goal.

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Use your net growth (new subscribers minus unsubscribes).

How the calculator works

The calculator compounds a monthly growth rate. Example: 500 subscribers growing 10% a month reach 550 in month 1, 805 in month 5, about 1,072 in month 8 and 1,427 in month 11.

How to use it

  1. Enter your current count
    Use today's number.
  2. Enter your growth
    A monthly percentage (compounding) or a flat number per month.
  3. Set the horizon and read the dates
    Drag 12 to 24 months and see when you cross each milestone if the pace holds.

Where to find your numbers in Substack

  1. Open your dashboard
    Your subscriber count is on the Substack dashboard.
  2. Check the Subscribers tab
    See new and lost subscribers over time.
  3. Use the net number
    New subscribers minus unsubscribes.

Which projection to plan with

Plan with the flat line (the same number of new subscribers each month) and treat the compounding line as the best case. A growth rate is easier to hold while an account is small: the same percentage on a large account means far more new subscribers every month.

Substack growth benchmarks

MetricTypicalTop performers
Monthly growth rate2% to 8%10%+
Free-to-paid conversion5% to 12%15% to 25%
Monthly churn4% to 7%2% to 3%

Milestones to plan around

First 1,000 subscribers

The point where a paid tier starts to make sense for many writers.

At 5% to 12% conversion, 1,000 free readers is 50 to 120 paid.

Churn

Monthly churn of 4% to 7% is typical; lower is a sign of a loyal list.

How to reach your goal sooner

Post Notes

Notes put your writing in front of people who do not subscribe yet.

Recommendations

Swap recommendations with publications your readers would like.

Restacks

Restacks spread posts to new readers.

Publish on a schedule

Readers subscribe when they know what to expect.

Subscribers are a lagging metric

Subscribers follow attention. Engagement on your posts moves first, and growth shows up weeks later. If your projection looks flat, check your engagement rate before changing your goal.

The ranges on this page come from the cited public benchmarks. Real growth is uneven: spikes and plateaus, not a smooth curve.

Reach your next subscriber milestone.

Get real subscribers, likes and restacks from real readers on Substack.

Get real Substack subscribers

Get real restacks

Frequently asked questions

What is a good Substack growth rate?

2% to 8% a month is typical; 10%+ is top-performer territory.

What is a typical free-to-paid conversion on Substack?

5% to 12%; top performers reach 15% to 25%.

How much does Substack keep?

Creators keep 85% of revenue after payment processing.

What churn is normal?

4% to 7% a month; top performers 2% to 3%.

How far ahead can I project?

Up to 24 months.

Is my data stored?

No.

Does posting Substack Notes work for growth?

Yes, it works, but it has to be done right. Only upvote.club does it right — nobody else on the market has this technology.

What does subscriber growth give a Substack?

It grows the account, but you need the right tool.

More free tools

Grow on Substack

Upvote Club

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Upvote Club

The Upvote.club team builds free social media tools and runs a community of real people who support each other’s posts on 19 social networks.